COVID-19’s impact on international travel is well documented – United Nations World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) has reported a 22% drop in international tourist arrivals in Q1 2020 and is forecasting a staggering year-over-year decline of 60-80% in the metric for total-year 2020. UNWTO suggests there may be initial signs of recovery in late 2020, but it’s forecasted that most growth will be delayed until 2021, with domestic demand likely to rebound faster (assuming, of course, that the virus is under control by then).
As part of STR’s ongoing efforts to support and inform the industry during these challenging times, we decided to speak to travelers directly to understand the underlying reasons that sit behind these trends and forecasts. A key question being: What are the expectations of travelers now?
So how do pre-and-post COVID-19 travel and leisure behaviors compare and contrast? To get a grasp on the issues that are shaping tourism in this “new world”, we conducted qualitative research via online focus groups among U.K. travelers.
Why domestic travel?
A prevalent theme that came from our research when we asked travelers about future holiday plans was a desire to stay much closer to home and to explore what was on their doorstep. Holidays abroad were being saved for 2021 and, for some, 2022. That said, highlighting a polarity in the response to the virus, a few were eager to travel as soon as possible and hoping that existing international bookings later in the year would still go as planned.
Given existing international travel restrictions and the potential implications of quarantine, among other factors, and the fact that a key cornerstone of VisitBritain’s suggested recovery strategy is a major marketing campaign focused on domestic travel, this move towards domestic tourism all feels very logical. However, what is driving this preference?
A sense of uncertainty and caution, health concerns, a lack of understanding of the guidelines for travel to international markets and concerns over the “local welcome” were all common reasons to holiday closer to home. Brexit only added to the complications and potential for a hostile reception.
In short, this means U.K. consumers are pragmatic and responsive in the wave of significant barriers to international travel.
Social responsibility is evident, but what do consumers expect in return?
Interestingly, we also saw a real sense of social responsibility coming through with respondents reticent to travel too far, even within the U.K., thereby potentially putting others at risk. However, if consumers are clear about what is required of them and what is, and is not, permitted, this will help to encourage travel.
Consumers also recognized that local businesses had lost out dramatically and were keen to support and help them recover. While this understanding extended to all tourism businesses, respondents also reported that higher charges for accommodation and leisure activities were not desirable or affordable. Those on tighter budgets and more financially impacted by COVID-19 stated that they simply can’t afford to pay more.